Friday, June 10, 2011

AP: "Bin Laden Documents Sharpen US Aim"

Another interesting report by Kimberly Dozier on the trove of intelligence documents secured by the Navy SEALs in the raid that killed bin Laden. 

Although investigators have found sequences of numbers that may represent bank accounts or phone numbers of al-Qa'ida operatives, the biggest insight gained from bin Laden's computer files (thus far) is the communications between bin Laden and his followers and "the light they shed on the personalities of known al-Qaida operatives and what drives the various terrorist commanders who corresponded with bin Laden." 

Unless there is something Dozier's sources can't reveal, to me this indicates bin Laden was less involved in al-Qa'ida's operations than previously suggested, and that as with previous strategic manhunts, his death will not end the al-Qa'ida threat absent the continuation of a comprehensive campaign against the terrorist network.

It is worth remembering that in the weeks following Saddam’s capture, U.S. forces obtained the best intelligence they had seen in months. Along with the money and guns, Task Force 121 found a briefcase with Saddam that contained a letter from a Baghdad insurgent leader. The message included the minutes from a meeting of a number of resistance leaders who came together in the capital. These documents provided targets for further raids in the ensuing days, and within a week these raids had netted over 200 wanted personnel.  Yet, although these raids reduced U.S. casualties in Iraq for a month, they did little to stem the growing insurgent tide.

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